Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.046656 0.050728 0.054851 0.059329 0.064050 0.068871 0.074162
2025-07-06 0.041408 0.047499 0.053882 0.061041 0.068822 0.076997 0.086210
2025-07-13 0.035926 0.043311 0.051295 0.060510 0.070791 0.081853 0.094596
2025-07-20 0.031997 0.040358 0.049656 0.060657 0.073209 0.086983 0.103138
2025-07-27 0.029261 0.038443 0.048914 0.061571 0.076292 0.092716 0.112266
2025-08-03 0.027291 0.037205 0.048769 0.063014 0.079857 0.098913 0.121880
2025-08-10 0.023759 0.033799 0.045811 0.060924 0.079117 0.100016 0.125537
2025-08-17 0.021462 0.031729 0.044297 0.060404 0.080095 0.103008 0.131299
2025-08-24 0.019419 0.029823 0.042845 0.059831 0.080904 0.105718 0.136671
2025-08-31 0.018614 0.029461 0.043276 0.061543 0.084459 0.111686 0.145909
2025-09-07 0.017652 0.028811 0.043278 0.062668 0.087260 0.116737 0.154062
2025-09-14 0.016611 0.027979 0.042980 0.063361 0.089489 0.121077 0.161361
2025-09-21 0.015370 0.026816 0.042223 0.063466 0.091018 0.124635 0.167831
2025-09-28 0.014866 0.026672 0.042812 0.065323 0.094782 0.130977 0.177751
2025-10-05 0.013571 0.025287 0.041641 0.064798 0.095457 0.133467 0.182949
2025-10-12 0.012616 0.024342 0.041024 0.064967 0.096995 0.137019 0.189457
2025-10-19 0.011992 0.023857 0.041016 0.065932 0.099554 0.141851 0.197564
2025-10-26 0.011580 0.023673 0.041419 0.067447 0.102837 0.147612 0.206860
2025-11-02 0.010138 0.021741 0.039202 0.065259 0.101143 0.146982 0.208100
2025-11-09 0.009266 0.020673 0.038197 0.064714 0.101604 0.149083 0.212765
2025-11-16 0.008449 0.019636 0.037186 0.064114 0.101954 0.151016 0.217204
2025-11-23 0.008273 0.019699 0.037844 0.065909 0.105574 0.157220 0.227123
2025-11-30 0.007962 0.019499 0.038081 0.067087 0.108350 0.162334 0.235670